NFL Week 10 - 2026
NFL picks and player prop edges.
Current NFL predictions from the Matty model pipeline, covering matchup picks, player projections, sportsbook prop lines, confidence tiers, and quality flags.
Updated Nov 12, 2026, 6:21 PM
Current Picks
Game-by-game NFL picks with confidence, projected margin, odds, and model read.
Prop Edges
Player prop rows are limited to markets with sportsbook lines, model edge, and quality checks.
Transparent Method
Model output is published for entertainment purposes with method notes, archive pages, privacy, and terms available from every page.
Current Board
Featured NFL Picks
Details
JAX at TEN
Nov 15, 6:00 PM UTC
Nov 15, 6:00 PM UTC
PickJAX
Details
Confidence85.0%
Margin-11.3 home
Odds+567
ReadPick JAX: 85.0% win prob; margin -11.3 pts
LA at ARI
Nov 15, 9:05 PM UTC
Nov 15, 9:05 PM UTC
PickLA
Details
Confidence85.0%
Margin-5.5 home
Odds+567
ReadPick LA: 85.0% win prob; margin -5.5 pts
SEA at LV
Nov 15, 9:05 PM UTC
Nov 15, 9:05 PM UTC
PickSEA
Details
Confidence85.0%
Margin-8.3 home
Odds+567
ReadPick SEA: 85.0% win prob; margin -8.3 pts
BUF at NYJ
Nov 15, 6:00 PM UTC
Nov 15, 6:00 PM UTC
PickBUF
Details
Confidence79.2%
Margin-6.5 home
Odds+381
ReadPick BUF: 79.2% win prob; margin -6.5 pts
HOU at CLE
Nov 15, 6:00 PM UTC
Nov 15, 6:00 PM UTC
PickHOU
Details
Confidence79.2%
Margin-6.1 home
Odds+381
ReadPick HOU: 79.2% win prob; margin -6.1 pts
KC at ATL
Nov 15, 6:00 PM UTC
Nov 15, 6:00 PM UTC
PickKC
Details
Confidence75.0%
Margin-6.3 home
Odds+300
ReadPick KC: 75.0% win prob; margin -6.3 pts
SF at DAL
Nov 15, 9:25 PM UTC
Nov 15, 9:25 PM UTC
PickSF
Details
Confidence71.8%
Margin-2.0 home
Odds+255
ReadPick SF: 71.8% win prob; margin -2.0 pts
LAC at BAL
Nov 17, 1:15 AM UTC
Nov 17, 1:15 AM UTC
PickBAL
Details
Confidence67.4%
Margin+4.8 home
Odds-207
ReadPick BAL: 67.4% win prob; margin +4.8 pts
Player Props
Model Watchlist
No official player prop picks cleared today's historical price gate. This watchlist shows the strongest model signals for context.
C.McCaffrey RB | SF vs DAL | SF | Anytime Td | Over 0.5 | 80 Solid Lean | 0.9 vs 0.5 +0.4 | hardrock | Research only |
Julius Chestnut RB | TEN vs JAX | TEN | Anytime Td | Over 0.5 | 71 Solid Lean | 0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4 | draftkings | Research only |
A.Jones RB | MIN vs GB | MIN | Rush yds | Over 28.5 | 69 Mild Lean | 62.5 vs 28.5 +34.0 | fanduel | O -114 / U -114 |
Kylen Granson TE | TEN vs JAX | TEN | Anytime Td | Over 0.5 | 68 Mild Lean | 0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4 | draftkings | Research only |
B.Allen RB | NYJ vs BUF | NYJ | Rush yds | Over 34.5 | 68 Mild Lean | 58.1 vs 34.5 +23.6 | fanduel | O -114 / U -114 |
Feleipe Franks TE | CAR vs NO | CAR | Anytime Td | Over 0.5 | 65 Mild Lean | 0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4 | draftkings | Research only |
J.Hill RB | BAL vs LAC | BAL | Rush yds | Over 12.5 | 65 Mild Lean | 33.3 vs 12.5 +20.8 | fanduel | O -114 / U -114 |
J.Sanders TE | CAR vs NO | CAR | Anytime Td | Over 0.5 | 64 Mild Lean | 0.1 vs 0.5 -0.4 | draftkings | Research only |